US election 2024 | What impact will Trump's election have on the world?

Trump won the US election and returned to the White House. Trump talked about his various policies after the election before the election, which may predict his impact on the world after the election.

Will Ukraine continue to receive support?

Since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the United States has provided Ukraine with billions of dollars in military aid, which Trump has complained about. According to a poll, 49% of Republicans surveyed believe that Washington has spent too much on the Ukraine issue, while only 17% of Democratic voters hold this view. Trump met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in September and threatened that he had a good relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin. He also promised that if elected, he would end the war "within 24 hours."

Kiev is most worried that if Trump is elected, Ukraine will no longer receive US military aid and will be forced to sit down and negotiate unequally with Russia, such as forcing the cession of territory.

Will Trump be tougher on China?

Trump started a fierce trade war with China while in office, and he even threatened to impose tariffs of more than 60% on Chinese goods if he was re-elected. He also mentioned that he intends to take "aggressive new restrictions" to "prevent China from buying" infrastructure in key areas such as energy and telecommunications in the United States in the future.

Since the campaign, Trump's public statements on China have mostly focused on economic issues dominated by tariffs. Even on the Taiwan issue, he said that Taiwan should pay defense costs to the United States. He was criticized for being too transactional when dealing with China.

Because of the focus on transactions, analysts say it is difficult to know what kind of China policy Trump will pursue. "No one knows how Trump will act if he wins," said Sean King, who was a senior adviser in Asia for the Department of Commerce's Commercial Service.

Will the United States withdraw from NATO?

The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is a military alliance of 32 countries, including the United States, Britain, Germany and France. According to NATO regulations, an attack on any NATO member state is considered an attack on all countries in the group. When in office, Trump often threatened that the United States would withdraw from the organization if other member states failed to meet the agreed target of spending 2% of gross domestic product (GDP) on defense.

Trump's campaign website said that Trump's goal is to "fundamentally reassess" NATO's purpose and mission. It is said that even if the United States does not withdraw from NATO, Trump can "weaken it" - for example, reducing the number of US troops stationed in Europe, or setting conditions for the US response if Russia invades a NATO member state.

Will Trump continue to support Israel?

During his presidency, Trump publicly supported Israel and its right-wing government. He overturned decades of official U.S. policy by announcing recognition of Jerusalem as Israel's capital and moving the U.S. embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. Both moves were seen by Palestinians as taking sides on the controversial status of Jerusalem. While in office, he also brokered agreements to normalize relations between Israel and four Arab League countries: Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, Sudan and Morocco.

Trump has said he would "protect Israel" if Israel went to war with Iran, but there are reports that he has a grudge against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu because Netanyahu called Biden to congratulate him during the 2020 U.S. presidential election when Trump was still disputing the results of the election.

After the October 7 attack last year, Trump called Netanyahu "unprepared" for the attack on Hamas and called Lebanon's radical Islamist group Hezbollah "smart," sparking anger among Republicans who support Israel.

Climate change

During his tenure, Trump withdrew the United States from the 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change. Biden reversed that move—Trump's campaign website said he would withdraw again if elected. According to Trump's campaign website, he would stop "frivolous lawsuits" by environmentalists, end subsidies for wind power, cut taxes on oil, gas and coal producers, and revoke Biden's proposed automobile emissions regulations. If true, Trump's election would be a "disaster" for "global warming" and "global climate goals."


Based on Trump's governance in the last term, it can be expected that Trump will continue to complete his previous mission (Make America Great Again), such as tariff issues and border management. The world is quietly changing, perhaps for the better.